European Pro League Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeINOX Division pick
40%63%
INFINITE · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +23%INOX Division · 20 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%71%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INOX Division +15%INOX Division · 20 maps
InfernoINFINITE ban
50%58%
INFINITE · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 15 maps
AncientINFINITE pick
56%62%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INOX Division +6%INOX Division · 9 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
40%56%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge INOX Division +16%INOX Division · 12 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
62%50%
INFINITE · 9 mapsedge INFINITE +12%INOX Division · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
60%40%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge INFINITE +20%INOX Division · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickINFINITE take Ancient
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. BanINFINITE remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (56% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
INFINITE 39%INOX Division 61%
The model gave 61% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
INFINITE 47%INOX Division 53%
The model gave 53% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 54%
Series resultINFINITE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2