Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
INFINITE#78 in the world · win 13:11series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 13:11
Insidersloss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageInsiders ban
52%40%
INFINITE · 17 mapsedge INFINITE +12%Insiders · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
41%40%
INFINITE · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Insiders · 1 map
Dust2INFINITE ban
28%50%
INFINITE · 14 mapsedge Insiders +22%Insiders · 0 maps
InfernoINFINITE ban
38%50%
INFINITE · 9 mapsedge Insiders +12%Insiders · 0 maps
NukeInsiders ban
42%40%
INFINITE · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Insiders · 1 map
CacheINFINITE ban
56%50%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INFINITE +6%Insiders · 0 maps
DefaultInsiders ban
71%50%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +21%Insiders · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Inferno
2. BanInsiders remove Default
3. BanINFINITE remove Cache
4. BanInsiders remove Nuke
5. BanINFINITE remove Dust2
6. BanInsiders remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (41% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
INFINITE 62%Insiders 38%
The model gave 62% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 73%
Series resultINFINITE 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1