CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
60%64%
INFINITE · 6 mapsnearly even -4%SPARTA · 32 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
55%52%
INFINITE · 16 mapsnearly even +3%SPARTA · 19 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
54%38%
INFINITE · 9 mapsedge INFINITE +16%SPARTA · 20 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%45%
INFINITE · 10 mapsedge INFINITE +5%SPARTA · 16 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
56%47%
INFINITE · 5 mapsedge INFINITE +9%SPARTA · 11 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
40%40%
INFINITE · 1 mapnearly even +0%SPARTA · 6 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
50%43%
INFINITE · 2 mapsedge INFINITE +7%SPARTA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
2. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickSPARTA take Dust2
5. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
6. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:16
INFINITE 43%SPARTA 57%
The model gave 57% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
INFINITE 62%SPARTA 38%
The model gave 62% on INFINITE — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 60%
Series resultSPARTA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2