Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
aimclub#98 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
61%38%
Inner Circle Academy · 29 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +23%aimclub · 4 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
50%33%
Inner Circle Academy · 24 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +17%aimclub · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%71%
Inner Circle Academy · 19 mapsedge aimclub +14%aimclub · 3 maps
Mirageaimclub pick
50%63%
Inner Circle Academy · 12 mapsedge aimclub +13%aimclub · 4 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
53%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 15 mapsnearly even +3%aimclub · 0 maps
CacheInner Circle Academy ban
45%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 7 mapsedge aimclub +5%aimclub · 2 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
43%67%
Inner Circle Academy · 3 mapsedge aimclub +24%aimclub · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. Banaimclub remove Nuke
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
4. Pickaimclub take Mirage
5. Banaimclub remove Ancient
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (57% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Inner Circle Academy 35%aimclub 65%
The model gave 65% on aimclub — the map was taken by aimclub.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
Inner Circle Academy 37%aimclub 63%
The model gave 63% on aimclub — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Cacheprediction correct13:16
Inner Circle Academy 45%aimclub 55%
The model gave 55% on aimclub — the map was taken by aimclub.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 59%
Series resultaimclub 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3