?
CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
65%67%
Inner Circle Academy · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Endless Journey · 8 maps
NukeInner Circle Academy ban
45%64%
Inner Circle Academy · 7 mapsedge Endless Journey +19%Endless Journey · 7 maps
AncientEndless Journey ban
58%44%
Inner Circle Academy · 8 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +14%Endless Journey · 5 maps
MirageEndless Journey pick
63%67%
Inner Circle Academy · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Endless Journey · 8 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
71%29%
Inner Circle Academy · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +42%Endless Journey · 3 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
40%44%
Inner Circle Academy · 1 mapnearly even -4%Endless Journey · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 2 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +7%Endless Journey · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
4. PickEndless Journey take Mirage
5. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Inner Circle Academy 42%Endless Journey 58%
The model gave 58% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
Inner Circle Academy 88%Endless Journey 12%
The model gave 88% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Inner Circle Academy 48%Endless Journey 52%
The model gave 52% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 53%
Series resultEndless Journey 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3