Parken Challenger Championship Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Honvéd#124 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy ban
50%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 0 mapsedge Honvéd +10%Honvéd · 1 map
MirageHonvéd pick
50%60%
Inner Circle Academy · 0 mapsedge Honvéd +10%Honvéd · 1 map
NukeHonvéd ban
60%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 1 mapedge Inner Circle Academy +10%Honvéd · 0 maps
OverpassInner Circle Academy pick
60%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 1 mapedge Inner Circle Academy +10%Honvéd · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Dust2
2. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Overpass
4. PickHonvéd take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Inner Circle Academy 37%Honvéd 63%
The model gave 63% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
Inner Circle Academy 63%Honvéd 37%
The model gave 63% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 61%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2