CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#103 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
megoshort#200 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
61%55%
Inner Circle Academy · 29 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +6%megoshort · 7 maps
AncientInner Circle Academy ban
52%55%
Inner Circle Academy · 23 mapsnearly even -3%megoshort · 7 maps
Miragemegoshort pick
50%46%
Inner Circle Academy · 12 mapsnearly even +4%megoshort · 9 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy pick
59%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 18 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +19%megoshort · 1 map
Nukemegoshort ban
53%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 15 mapsnearly even +3%megoshort · 0 maps
CacheInner Circle Academy ban
45%71%
Inner Circle Academy · 7 mapsedge megoshort +26%megoshort · 3 maps
Defaultmegoshort ban
50%38%
Inner Circle Academy · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +12%megoshort · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Cache
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Anubis
4. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
5. Banmegoshort remove Default
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (61% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
Inner Circle Academy 44%megoshort 56%
The model gave 56% on megoshort — the map was taken by megoshort.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Inner Circle Academy 71%megoshort 29%
The model gave 71% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle Academy · 65%
Series resultmegoshort 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2