?
arrow_backBack to match
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#28 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
3DMAX#20 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientInner Circle ban
64%56%
Inner Circle · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle +8%3DMAX · 12 maps
Dust2Inner Circle pick
71%57%
Inner Circle · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle +14%3DMAX · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%36%
Inner Circle · 8 mapsedge Inner Circle +22%3DMAX · 10 maps
Cache3DMAX pick
75%56%
Inner Circle · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle +19%3DMAX · 12 maps
InfernoInner Circle ban
50%47%
Inner Circle · 0 mapsnearly even +3%3DMAX · 13 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
47%50%
Inner Circle · 11 mapsnearly even -3%3DMAX · 0 maps
Anubis3DMAX ban
45%43%
Inner Circle · 7 mapsnearly even +2%3DMAX · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Inferno
2. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
3. PickInner Circle take Dust2
4. Pick3DMAX take Cache
5. Ban3DMAX remove Anubis
6. BanInner Circle remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (58% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Inner Circle 55%3DMAX 45%
The model gave 55% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Inner Circle.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Inner Circle 68%3DMAX 32%
The model gave 68% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Cacheprediction missed3:13
Inner Circle 70%3DMAX 30%
The model gave 70% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 60%
Series result3DMAX 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3