BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#28 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle pick
77%69%
Inner Circle · 9 mapsedge Inner Circle +8%MOUZ · 9 maps
AncientMOUZ ban
69%27%
Inner Circle · 9 mapsedge Inner Circle +42%MOUZ · 7 maps
NukeMOUZ pick
70%77%
Inner Circle · 6 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
55%55%
Inner Circle · 7 mapsnearly even +0%MOUZ · 7 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
56%50%
Inner Circle · 5 mapsedge Inner Circle +6%MOUZ · 0 maps
OverpassInner Circle ban
50%40%
Inner Circle · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle +10%MOUZ · 1 map
InfernoInner Circle ban
50%63%
Inner Circle · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +13%MOUZ · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Inferno
2. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
3. PickInner Circle take Dust2
4. PickMOUZ take Nuke
5. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
6. BanInner Circle remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (55% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
Inner Circle 87%MOUZ 13%
The model gave 87% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Inner Circle 47%MOUZ 53%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 84%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2