NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
67%29%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge INOX Division +38%aAa · 10 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
60%33%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge INOX Division +27%aAa · 5 maps
InfernoINOX Division ban
54%38%
INOX Division · 9 mapsedge INOX Division +16%aAa · 4 maps
AncientaAa ban
60%20%
INOX Division · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +40%aAa · 6 maps
OverpassaAa ban
62%33%
INOX Division · 9 mapsedge INOX Division +29%aAa · 2 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
43%60%
INOX Division · 3 mapsedge aAa +17%aAa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
2. BanaAa remove Overpass
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickaAa take Dust2
5. BanaAa remove Ancient
6. BanINOX Division remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
INOX Division 63%aAa 37%
The model gave 63% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Nukeprediction correct13:1
INOX Division 77%aAa 23%
The model gave 77% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 71%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2