CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#63 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Black Phoenix#80 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
59%53%
INOX Division · 18 mapsedge INOX Division +6%Black Phoenix · 30 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
61%67%
INOX Division · 27 mapsedge Black Phoenix +6%Black Phoenix · 11 maps
Nukepossible decider
70%55%
INOX Division · 19 mapsedge INOX Division +15%Black Phoenix · 16 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
47%64%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Black Phoenix · 10 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
57%40%
INOX Division · 19 mapsedge INOX Division +17%Black Phoenix · 1 map
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
64%13%
INOX Division · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +51%Black Phoenix · 12 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%45%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +5%Black Phoenix · 18 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderNuke (70% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
INOX Division 68%Black Phoenix 32%
The model gave 68% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction missed1:13
INOX Division 53%Black Phoenix 47%
The model gave 53% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
INOX Division 44%Black Phoenix 56%
The model gave 56% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 55%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3