CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#114 in the world · win 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
44%67%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge Black Phoenix +23%Black Phoenix · 72 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
63%52%
INOX Division · 26 mapsedge INOX Division +11%Black Phoenix · 29 maps
Infernopossible decider
62%62%
INOX Division · 30 mapsnearly even +0%Black Phoenix · 22 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
45%48%
INOX Division · 16 mapsnearly even -3%Black Phoenix · 27 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
75%42%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +33%Black Phoenix · 29 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%55%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Black Phoenix · 34 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
54%33%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +21%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderInferno (62% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
INOX Division 25%Black Phoenix 75%
The model gave 75% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
INOX Division 65%Black Phoenix 35%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
INOX Division 50%Black Phoenix 50%
The model gave 50% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 60%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3