WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#114 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FORZE Reload#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FORZE Reload pick
54%62%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge FORZE Reload +8%FORZE Reload · 9 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 28 mapsedge INOX Division +13%FORZE Reload · 0 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
71%70%
INOX Division · 20 mapsnearly even +1%FORZE Reload · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
58%57%
INOX Division · 20 mapsnearly even +1%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
47%63%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge FORZE Reload +16%FORZE Reload · 4 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
64%50%
INOX Division · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +14%FORZE Reload · 4 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%50%
INOX Division · 0 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickFORZE Reload take Dust2
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderAncient (58% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
INOX Division 32%FORZE Reload 68%
The model gave 68% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
INOX Division 54%FORZE Reload 46%
The model gave 54% on INOX Division — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 57%
Series resultFORZE Reload 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2