1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#63 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
59%67%
INOX Division · 18 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +8%Nuclear TigeRES · 17 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
63%73%
INOX Division · 26 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +10%Nuclear TigeRES · 7 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
59%41%
INOX Division · 18 mapsedge INOX Division +18%Nuclear TigeRES · 13 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
67%50%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge INOX Division +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
58%55%
INOX Division · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Nuclear TigeRES · 16 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
47%71%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +24%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
DefaultINOX Division ban
43%57%
INOX Division · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +14%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Cache
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
6. BanINOX Division remove Default
DeciderAncient (59% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
INOX Division 39%Nuclear TigeRES 61%
The model gave 61% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
INOX Division 70%Nuclear TigeRES 30%
The model gave 70% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
INOX Division 39%Nuclear TigeRES 61%
The model gave 61% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 58%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3