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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
insane playersloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Incognitowin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
insane players 50%Incognito 50%
The model gave 50% on insane players — the map was taken by Incognito.
Model check result
Model favoriteinsane players · 50%
Series resultIncognito 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1