IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Insidersloss 7:13series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 7:13
EAC#76 in the world · win 13:7The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientInsiders ban
50%60%
Insiders · 0 mapsedge EAC +10%EAC · 16 maps
MirageInsiders ban
50%58%
Insiders · 0 mapsedge EAC +8%EAC · 15 maps
AnubisEAC ban
50%50%
Insiders · 0 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 10 maps
CacheInsiders ban
50%62%
Insiders · 0 mapsedge EAC +12%EAC · 9 maps
NukeEAC ban
50%46%
Insiders · 0 mapsnearly even +4%EAC · 9 maps
InfernoEAC ban
50%25%
Insiders · 0 mapsedge Insiders +25%EAC · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%57%
Insiders · 0 mapsedge EAC +7%EAC · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInsiders remove Cache
2. BanEAC remove Inferno
3. BanInsiders remove Ancient
4. BanEAC remove Anubis
5. BanInsiders remove Mirage
6. BanEAC remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
Insiders 42%EAC 58%
The model gave 58% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 79%
Series resultEAC 7:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1