ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Iowa Stormboar#201 in the worldseries probability
27%73%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Marsborne#104 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMarsborne pick
40%64%
Iowa Stormboar · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +24%Marsborne · 7 maps
AncientIowa Stormboar pick
57%67%
Iowa Stormboar · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 8 maps
InfernoIowa Stormboar ban
33%70%
Iowa Stormboar · 2 mapsedge Marsborne +37%Marsborne · 6 maps
NukeMarsborne ban
50%40%
Iowa Stormboar · 6 mapsedge Iowa Stormboar +10%Marsborne · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
50%63%
Iowa Stormboar · 2 mapsedge Marsborne +13%Marsborne · 4 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
43%50%
Iowa Stormboar · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +7%Marsborne · 2 maps
OverpassIowa Stormboar ban
50%50%
Iowa Stormboar · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Marsborne · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIowa Stormboar remove Inferno
2. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
3. PickIowa Stormboar take Ancient
4. PickMarsborne take Mirage
5. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
6. BanIowa Stormboar remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (50% / 63%)