ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Iowa Stormboar#201 in the worldseries probability
38%62%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Villainous#142 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoIowa Stormboar ban
29%55%
Iowa Stormboar · 3 mapsedge Villainous +26%Villainous · 7 maps
NukeIowa Stormboar pick
50%60%
Iowa Stormboar · 8 mapsedge Villainous +10%Villainous · 1 map
AnubisVillainous pick
50%60%
Iowa Stormboar · 2 mapsedge Villainous +10%Villainous · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
44%43%
Iowa Stormboar · 5 mapsnearly even +1%Villainous · 3 maps
Dust2Villainous ban
50%40%
Iowa Stormboar · 4 mapsedge Iowa Stormboar +10%Villainous · 1 map
AncientVillainous ban
67%40%
Iowa Stormboar · 2 mapsedge Iowa Stormboar +27%Villainous · 1 map
CacheIowa Stormboar ban
50%60%
Iowa Stormboar · 0 mapsedge Villainous +10%Villainous · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIowa Stormboar remove Inferno
2. BanVillainous remove Dust2
3. PickIowa Stormboar take Nuke
4. PickVillainous take Anubis
5. BanVillainous remove Ancient
6. BanIowa Stormboar remove Cache
DeciderMirage (44% / 43%)