CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
55%43%
Isurus · 16 mapsedge Isurus +12%BESTIA Academy · 10 maps
InfernoBESTIA Academy pick
45%65%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +20%BESTIA Academy · 13 maps
AncientIsurus ban
46%38%
Isurus · 9 mapsedge Isurus +8%BESTIA Academy · 9 maps
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
60%55%
Isurus · 11 mapsedge Isurus +5%BESTIA Academy · 7 maps
NukeIsurus ban
50%63%
Isurus · 8 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +13%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Isurus +21%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
43%40%
Isurus · 3 mapsnearly even +3%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Nuke
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Inferno
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
6. BanIsurus remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Isurus 65%BESTIA Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
Isurus 29%BESTIA Academy 71%
The model gave 71% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 55%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2