ESL Challenger League Season 51 South America Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#114 in the world · win 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bounty Hunters#109 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Isurus 53%Bounty Hunters 47%
The model gave 53% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
Isurus 47%Bounty Hunters 53%
The model gave 53% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
Isurus 50%Bounty Hunters 50%
The model gave 50% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 60%
Series resultIsurus 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3