Stake Pulse Beat II · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisJiJieHao ban
44%50%
JiJieHao · 5 mapsedge Betclic +6%Betclic · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%60%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Betclic · 6 maps
MirageJiJieHao pick
64%67%
JiJieHao · 7 mapsnearly even -3%Betclic · 5 maps
CacheBetclic pick
44%56%
JiJieHao · 5 mapsedge Betclic +12%Betclic · 5 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
40%63%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge Betclic +23%Betclic · 4 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%58%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Betclic +8%Betclic · 8 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
50%50%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Betclic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanBetclic remove Inferno
3. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
4. PickBetclic take Cache
5. BanBetclic remove Dust2
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
JiJieHao 50%Betclic 50%
The model gave 50% on Betclic — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
JiJieHao 42%Betclic 58%
The model gave 58% on Betclic — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 62%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2