Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
56%46%
JiJieHao · 5 mapsedge JiJieHao +10%Entropy · 24 maps
AncientJiJieHao pick
62%53%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge JiJieHao +9%Entropy · 15 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
50%53%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsnearly even -3%Entropy · 11 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
43%27%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge JiJieHao +16%Entropy · 11 maps
CacheJiJieHao ban
50%56%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Entropy +6%Entropy · 12 maps
InfernoEntropy ban
70%50%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge JiJieHao +20%Entropy · 6 maps
DefaultJiJieHao ban
50%56%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Entropy +6%Entropy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Cache
2. BanEntropy remove Dust2
3. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Inferno
6. BanJiJieHao remove Default
DeciderMirage (56% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct28:26
JiJieHao 62%Entropy 38%
The model gave 62% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
JiJieHao 41%Entropy 59%
The model gave 59% on Entropy — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 60%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2