Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
29%69%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge GenOne +40%GenOne · 48 maps
AncientGenOne ban
62%47%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge JiJieHao +15%GenOne · 26 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
40%58%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge GenOne +18%GenOne · 27 maps
InfernoJiJieHao pick
70%55%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge JiJieHao +15%GenOne · 16 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
40%37%
JiJieHao · 1 mapnearly even +3%GenOne · 15 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
50%60%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge GenOne +10%GenOne · 11 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
JiJieHao · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanGenOne remove Ancient
3. PickJiJieHao take Inferno
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
JiJieHao 67%GenOne 33%
The model gave 67% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
JiJieHao 14%GenOne 86%
The model gave 86% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
JiJieHao 66%GenOne 34%
The model gave 66% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 72%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3