HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#37 in the world · win 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#128 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
41%41%
JiJieHao · 13 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 13 maps
MirageJiJieHao pick
70%43%
JiJieHao · 16 mapsedge JiJieHao +27%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
56%64%
JiJieHao · 12 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +8%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
46%57%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +11%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
57%50%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
43%50%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%29%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +21%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
3. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (41% / 41%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
JiJieHao 36%SAW Youngsters 64%
The model gave 64% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
JiJieHao 78%SAW Youngsters 22%
The model gave 78% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
JiJieHao 50%SAW Youngsters 50%
The model gave 50% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 76%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3