CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Grêmio#208 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoJOGA DE TERNO ban
50%53%
JOGA DE TERNO · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Grêmio · 15 maps
AncientJOGA DE TERNO pick
50%42%
JOGA DE TERNO · 2 mapsedge JOGA DE TERNO +8%Grêmio · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%46%
JOGA DE TERNO · 1 mapedge JOGA DE TERNO +14%Grêmio · 9 maps
MirageGrêmio ban
50%31%
JOGA DE TERNO · 0 mapsedge JOGA DE TERNO +19%Grêmio · 9 maps
DefaultGrêmio pick
50%78%
JOGA DE TERNO · 2 mapsedge Grêmio +28%Grêmio · 5 maps
NukeGrêmio ban
50%27%
JOGA DE TERNO · 0 mapsedge JOGA DE TERNO +23%Grêmio · 7 maps
CacheJOGA DE TERNO ban
50%40%
JOGA DE TERNO · 0 mapsedge JOGA DE TERNO +10%Grêmio · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJOGA DE TERNO remove Inferno
2. BanGrêmio remove Mirage
3. PickJOGA DE TERNO take Ancient
4. PickGrêmio take Default
5. BanGrêmio remove Nuke
6. BanJOGA DE TERNO remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (60% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
JOGA DE TERNO 44%Grêmio 56%
The model gave 56% on Grêmio — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
JOGA DE TERNO 61%Grêmio 39%
The model gave 61% on JOGA DE TERNO — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Model check result
Model favoriteGrêmio · 57%
Series resultGrêmio 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2