CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Martians#220 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJOGA DE TERNO pick
43%50%
JOGA DE TERNO · 3 mapsedge Martians +7%Martians · 2 maps
Dust2Martians ban
60%29%
JOGA DE TERNO · 1 mapedge JOGA DE TERNO +31%Martians · 3 maps
MirageMartians pick
50%57%
JOGA DE TERNO · 0 mapsedge Martians +7%Martians · 3 maps
AnubisJOGA DE TERNO ban
60%60%
JOGA DE TERNO · 1 mapnearly even +0%Martians · 1 map
DefaultMartians ban
50%50%
JOGA DE TERNO · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Martians · 0 maps
InfernoJOGA DE TERNO ban
40%50%
JOGA DE TERNO · 1 mapedge Martians +10%Martians · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJOGA DE TERNO remove Inferno
2. BanMartians remove Dust2
3. PickJOGA DE TERNO take Ancient
4. PickMartians take Mirage
5. BanMartians remove Default
6. BanJOGA DE TERNO remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
JOGA DE TERNO 37%Martians 63%
The model gave 63% on Martians — the map was taken by Martians.
Ancientprediction correct17:19
JOGA DE TERNO 46%Martians 54%
The model gave 54% on Martians — the map was taken by Martians.
Model check result
Model favoriteMartians · 55%
Series resultMartians 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2