ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · loss 1:13series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:13
FOKUS#48 in the world · win 13:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS ban
56%44%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +12%FOKUS · 12 maps
CacheJohnny Speeds ban
57%81%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge FOKUS +24%FOKUS · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
43%50%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge FOKUS +7%FOKUS · 12 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
33%42%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge FOKUS +9%FOKUS · 8 maps
AncientJohnny Speeds ban
60%47%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +13%FOKUS · 11 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
67%38%
Johnny Speeds · 2 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +29%FOKUS · 4 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
40%63%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge FOKUS +23%FOKUS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
2. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
3. BanJohnny Speeds remove Cache
4. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Ancient
6. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct1:13
Johnny Speeds 24%FOKUS 76%
The model gave 76% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 56%
Series resultFOKUS 1:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1