CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
40%55%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Phantom +15%Phantom · 7 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
44%70%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Phantom +26%Phantom · 6 maps
AncientJohnny Speeds pick
57%44%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +13%Phantom · 5 maps
NukeJohnny Speeds ban
50%67%
Johnny Speeds · 0 mapsedge Phantom +17%Phantom · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%50%
Johnny Speeds · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom · 2 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
29%50%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge Phantom +21%Phantom · 0 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
71%50%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +21%Phantom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Nuke
2. BanPhantom remove Inferno
3. PickJohnny Speeds take Ancient
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Anubis
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Johnny Speeds 23%Phantom 77%
The model gave 77% on Phantom — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Overpassprediction correct13:4
Johnny Speeds 53%Phantom 47%
The model gave 53% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 52%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2