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Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Venom#184 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Johnny Speeds ban
50%50%
Johnny Speeds · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Venom · 0 maps
MirageVenom pick
36%50%
Johnny Speeds · 10 mapsedge Venom +14%Venom · 0 maps
InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
70%50%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +20%Venom · 0 maps
OverpassVenom ban
70%50%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +20%Venom · 0 maps
AncientVenom ban
67%50%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%Venom · 0 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
33%50%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Venom +17%Venom · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +10%Venom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
2. BanVenom remove Overpass
3. PickJohnny Speeds take Inferno
4. PickVenom take Mirage
5. BanVenom remove Ancient
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:5
Johnny Speeds 31%Venom 69%
The model gave 69% on Venom — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
Johnny Speeds 72%Venom 28%
The model gave 72% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 69%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2