NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#58 in the world · win 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Walczaki#44 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Johnny Speeds 50%Walczaki 50%
The model gave 50% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 51%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1