European Pro League Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
54%53%
Just Players · 22 mapsnearly even +1%CYBERSHOKE · 13 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
52%60%
Just Players · 17 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +8%CYBERSHOKE · 16 maps
Dust2Just Players ban
37%55%
Just Players · 15 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +18%CYBERSHOKE · 18 maps
NukeJust Players ban
50%44%
Just Players · 10 mapsedge Just Players +6%CYBERSHOKE · 5 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
60%46%
Just Players · 6 mapsedge Just Players +14%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
71%43%
Just Players · 3 mapsedge Just Players +28%CYBERSHOKE · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Just Players · 4 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Nuke
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
6. BanJust Players remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
Just Players 30%CYBERSHOKE 70%
The model gave 70% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Just Players 54%CYBERSHOKE 46%
The model gave 54% on Just Players — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 52%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2