CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Endless Journey#172 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
52%62%
Just Players · 23 mapsedge Endless Journey +10%Endless Journey · 9 maps
Dust2Endless Journey pick
35%69%
Just Players · 16 mapsedge Endless Journey +34%Endless Journey · 9 maps
AncientEndless Journey ban
52%40%
Just Players · 17 mapsedge Just Players +12%Endless Journey · 6 maps
NukeJust Players ban
50%64%
Just Players · 10 mapsedge Endless Journey +14%Endless Journey · 7 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
71%38%
Just Players · 3 mapsedge Just Players +33%Endless Journey · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%60%
Just Players · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Endless Journey · 1 map
DefaultJust Players ban
50%67%
Just Players · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +17%Endless Journey · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Nuke
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickEndless Journey take Dust2
5. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
6. BanJust Players remove Default
DeciderOverpass (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Just Players 18%Endless Journey 82%
The model gave 82% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Just Players 43%Endless Journey 57%
The model gave 57% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
Just Players 62%Endless Journey 38%
The model gave 62% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 57%
Series resultJust Players 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3