CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Sashi#94 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Just Players ban
40%31%
Just Players · 21 mapedge Just Players +9%Sashi · 9 maps
MirageSashi ban
53%50%
Just Players · 30 mapsnearly even +3%Sashi · 0 maps
AncientJust Players pick
62%50%
Just Players · 22 mapsedge Just Players +12%Sashi · 4 maps
NukeJust Players ban
50%42%
Just Players · 12 mapsedge Just Players +8%Sashi · 8 maps
OverpassSashi pick
56%67%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Sashi +11%Sashi · 2 maps
AnubisSashi ban
78%60%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +18%Sashi · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
67%60%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +7%Sashi · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Nuke
2. BanSashi remove Mirage
3. PickJust Players take Ancient
4. PickSashi take Overpass
5. BanSashi remove Anubis
6. BanJust Players remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Just Players 47%Sashi 53%
The model gave 53% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Just Players 63%Sashi 37%
The model gave 63% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
Just Players 62%Sashi 38%
The model gave 62% on Just Players — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 67%
Series resultSashi 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3