RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FaZe#18 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheK27 pick
52%55%
K27 · 27 mapsnearly even -3%FaZe · 7 maps
NukeFaZe pick
60%69%
K27 · 21 mapedge FaZe +9%FaZe · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
68%67%
K27 · 21 mapnearly even +1%FaZe · 8 maps
AncientK27 ban
43%43%
K27 · 17 mapsnearly even +0%FaZe · 10 maps
Dust2K27 ban
41%33%
K27 · 13 mapsedge K27 +8%FaZe · 8 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
75%44%
K27 · 8 mapsedge K27 +31%FaZe · 5 maps
DefaultFaZe ban
60%50%
K27 · 1 mapedge K27 +10%FaZe · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Ancient
2. BanFaZe remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Cache
4. PickFaZe take Nuke
5. BanFaZe remove Default
6. BanK27 remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (68% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
K27 55%FaZe 45%
The model gave 55% on K27 — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
K27 43%FaZe 57%
The model gave 57% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 69%
Series resultFaZe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2