PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#34 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SINNERS#44 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
67%54%
K27 · 17 mapsedge K27 +13%SINNERS · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
56%42%
K27 · 14 mapsedge K27 +14%SINNERS · 8 maps
AncientK27 ban
56%36%
K27 · 14 mapsedge K27 +20%SINNERS · 7 maps
Dust2SINNERS pick
62%60%
K27 · 9 mapsnearly even +2%SINNERS · 11 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
37%50%
K27 · 15 mapsedge SINNERS +13%SINNERS · 2 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
55%50%
K27 · 7 mapsedge K27 +5%SINNERS · 0 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%50%
K27 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%SINNERS · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickSINNERS take Dust2
5. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
6. BanK27 remove Ancient
DeciderCache (56% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
K27 66%SINNERS 34%
The model gave 66% on K27 — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
K27 66%SINNERS 34%
The model gave 66% on K27 — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 66%
Series resultSINNERS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2