GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · win 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
67%69%
K27 · 8 mapsnearly even -2%SPARTA · 31 map
MirageK27 pick
68%54%
K27 · 15 mapsedge K27 +14%SPARTA · 20 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
67%48%
K27 · 11 mapsedge K27 +19%SPARTA · 17 maps
NukeK27 ban
24%58%
K27 · 13 mapsedge SPARTA +34%SPARTA · 15 maps
Cachepossible decider
70%50%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +20%SPARTA · 10 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%43%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +7%SPARTA · 3 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%54%
K27 · 0 mapsnearly even -4%SPARTA · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickSPARTA take Dust2
5. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
6. BanK27 remove Nuke
DeciderCache (70% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
K27 17%SPARTA 83%
The model gave 83% on SPARTA — the map was taken by K27.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
K27 67%SPARTA 33%
The model gave 67% on K27 — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
K27 69%SPARTA 31%
The model gave 69% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 70%
Series resultK27 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3