GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Kaleido#154 in the world · win 2:1series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NEXVOID#102 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
33%63%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +30%NEXVOID · 4 maps
AncientKaleido ban
50%67%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +17%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Dust2Kaleido pick
50%40%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge Kaleido +10%NEXVOID · 1 map
CacheNEXVOID ban
40%40%
Kaleido · 1 mapnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 1 map
MirageNEXVOID ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 0 maps
NukeKaleido ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Nuke
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickKaleido take Dust2
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
6. BanKaleido remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
Kaleido 36%NEXVOID 64%
The model gave 64% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Kaleido 21%NEXVOID 79%
The model gave 79% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Dust2prediction correct13:1
Kaleido 60%NEXVOID 40%
The model gave 60% on Kaleido — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 66%
Series resultKaleido 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3