IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Kaleido#167 in the world · win 2:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Huns#152 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
44%50%
Kaleido · 5 mapsedge The Huns +6%The Huns · 14 maps
AncientKaleido pick
50%58%
Kaleido · 10 mapsedge The Huns +8%The Huns · 8 maps
InfernoThe Huns ban
36%36%
Kaleido · 7 mapsnearly even +0%The Huns · 7 maps
NukeThe Huns pick
50%60%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge The Huns +10%The Huns · 11 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
57%30%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +27%The Huns · 6 maps
CacheKaleido ban
29%56%
Kaleido · 3 mapsedge The Huns +27%The Huns · 5 maps
OverpassKaleido ban
50%60%
Kaleido · 0 mapsedge The Huns +10%The Huns · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Cache
2. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
3. PickKaleido take Ancient
4. PickThe Huns take Nuke
5. BanThe Huns remove Inferno
6. BanKaleido remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
Kaleido 47%The Huns 53%
The model gave 53% on The Huns — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Kaleido 47%The Huns 53%
The model gave 53% on The Huns — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 68%
Series resultKaleido 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2