CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars pick
55%70%
Keyd Stars · 16 mapsedge ALKA +15%ALKA · 6 maps
Dust2ALKA pick
53%73%
Keyd Stars · 15 mapsedge ALKA +20%ALKA · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%55%
Keyd Stars · 12 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 7 maps
MirageALKA ban
50%44%
Keyd Stars · 12 mapsedge Keyd Stars +6%ALKA · 5 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
33%56%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge ALKA +23%ALKA · 5 maps
AnubisALKA ban
67%40%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Keyd Stars +27%ALKA · 1 map
OverpassKeyd Stars ban
50%60%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (38% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
Keyd Stars 37%ALKA 63%
The model gave 63% on ALKA — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Keyd Stars 27%ALKA 73%
The model gave 73% on ALKA — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 59%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2