BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars pick
58%50%
Keyd Stars · 15 mapsedge Keyd Stars +8%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
53%67%
Keyd Stars · 11 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +14%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsnearly even +0%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
27%40%
Keyd Stars · 11 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +13%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
AnubisBORRACHEIROS ban
63%50%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge Keyd Stars +13%BORRACHEIROS · 0 maps
DefaultBORRACHEIROS pick
60%71%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +11%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
33%40%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +7%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Anubis
3. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Default
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
Keyd Stars 55%BORRACHEIROS 45%
The model gave 55% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Keyd Stars 53%BORRACHEIROS 47%
The model gave 53% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
Keyd Stars 63%BORRACHEIROS 37%
The model gave 63% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 62%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3