BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars pick
52%75%
Keyd Stars · 17 mapsedge Galorys +23%Galorys · 8 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 8 maps
MirageGalorys ban
59%67%
Keyd Stars · 13 mapsedge Galorys +8%Galorys · 2 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
36%56%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsedge Galorys +20%Galorys · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
56%57%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Galorys · 3 maps
OverpassGalorys pick
60%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%Galorys · 6 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
43%33%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +10%Galorys · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
4. PickGalorys take Overpass
5. BanGalorys remove Dust2
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (56% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Keyd Stars 53%Galorys 47%
The model gave 53% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
Keyd Stars 25%Galorys 75%
The model gave 75% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Keyd Stars 48%Galorys 52%
The model gave 52% on Galorys — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 64%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3