CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
56%40%
Keyd Stars · 5 mapsedge Keyd Stars +16%paiN Academy · 1 map
MiragepaiN Academy pick
43%67%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +24%paiN Academy · 2 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
57%50%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%paiN Academy · 0 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 1 map
DefaultKeyd Stars ban
50%40%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%60%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge paiN Academy +10%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Default
DeciderAnubis (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Keyd Stars 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Keyd Stars 68%paiN Academy 32%
The model gave 68% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 63%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2