BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
55%38%
Keyd Stars · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Vasco · 4 maps
MirageVasco pick
43%57%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Vasco +14%Vasco · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%67%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Vasco +10%Vasco · 2 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 0 maps
AnubisVasco ban
67%40%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +27%Vasco · 1 map
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%57%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Vasco +7%Vasco · 3 maps
OverpassKeyd Stars ban
40%40%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickVasco take Mirage
5. BanVasco remove Anubis
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (57% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Keyd Stars 50%Vasco 50%
The model gave 50% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 52%
Series resultKeyd Stars 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1