CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
38%67%
KOLESIE · 4 mapsedge ASTRAL +29%ASTRAL · 17 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
43%43%
KOLESIE · 3 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%54%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsnearly even -4%ASTRAL · 9 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%33%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge KOLESIE +17%ASTRAL · 8 maps
NukeKOLESIE pick
50%40%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsedge KOLESIE +10%ASTRAL · 6 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%71%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsedge ASTRAL +21%ASTRAL · 3 maps
OverpassASTRAL ban
56%50%
KOLESIE · 5 mapsedge KOLESIE +6%ASTRAL · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanASTRAL remove Overpass
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
6. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
KOLESIE 63%ASTRAL 37%
The model gave 63% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
KOLESIE 21%ASTRAL 79%
The model gave 79% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 58%
Series resultKOLESIE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2