CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBebop pick
67%62%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +5%Bebop · 9 maps
Dust2KOLESIE ban
33%78%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge Bebop +45%Bebop · 5 maps
NukeKOLESIE pick
69%25%
KOLESIE · 9 mapsedge KOLESIE +44%Bebop · 4 maps
AncientBebop ban
50%29%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +21%Bebop · 3 maps
OverpassBebop ban
57%60%
KOLESIE · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Bebop · 1 map
AnubisKOLESIE ban
45%50%
KOLESIE · 7 mapsedge Bebop +5%Bebop · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%30%
KOLESIE · 1 mapedge KOLESIE +30%Bebop · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Dust2
2. BanBebop remove Overpass
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Ancient
6. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
KOLESIE 53%Bebop 47%
The model gave 53% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by Bebop.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
KOLESIE 88%Bebop 12%
The model gave 88% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
KOLESIE 45%Bebop 55%
The model gave 55% on Bebop — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 72%
Series resultKOLESIE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3