CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
31%68%
KOLESIE · 9 mapsedge GenOne +37%GenOne · 34 maps
NukeKOLESIE pick
69%61%
KOLESIE · 12 mapsedge KOLESIE +8%GenOne · 24 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%48%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsnearly even +2%GenOne · 19 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
57%33%
KOLESIE · 10 mapsedge KOLESIE +24%GenOne · 14 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%57%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge GenOne +7%GenOne · 10 maps
MirageGenOne ban
64%50%
KOLESIE · 10 mapsedge KOLESIE +14%GenOne · 0 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%62%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 48%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:16
KOLESIE 15%GenOne 85%
The model gave 85% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
KOLESIE 55%GenOne 45%
The model gave 55% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
KOLESIE 59%GenOne 41%
The model gave 59% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 60%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3