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CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHEROIC Academy pick
64%53%
KOLESIE · 7 mapsedge KOLESIE +11%HEROIC Academy · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%45%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +5%HEROIC Academy · 7 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%46%
KOLESIE · 6 mapsnearly even +4%HEROIC Academy · 9 maps
Dust2HEROIC Academy ban
33%27%
KOLESIE · 8 mapsedge KOLESIE +6%HEROIC Academy · 7 maps
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
69%29%
KOLESIE · 9 mapsedge KOLESIE +40%HEROIC Academy · 3 maps
OverpassKOLESIE pick
54%43%
KOLESIE · 9 mapsedge KOLESIE +11%HEROIC Academy · 3 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%33%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge KOLESIE +17%HEROIC Academy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
3. PickKOLESIE take Overpass
4. PickHEROIC Academy take Mirage
5. BanHEROIC Academy remove Dust2
6. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
KOLESIE 51%HEROIC Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Overpassprediction correct13:4
KOLESIE 64%HEROIC Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
KOLESIE 61%HEROIC Academy 39%
The model gave 61% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 71%
Series resultKOLESIE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3