CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
57%60%
KOLESIE · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Lavked · 26 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%43%
KOLESIE · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 17 maps
NukeKOLESIE pick
57%57%
KOLESIE · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 17 maps
AncientKOLESIE ban
44%80%
KOLESIE · 5 mapsedge Lavked +36%Lavked · 11 maps
AnubisLavked ban
43%50%
KOLESIE · 3 mapsedge Lavked +7%Lavked · 6 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%31%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge KOLESIE +19%Lavked · 9 maps
OverpassLavked ban
55%50%
KOLESIE · 7 mapsedge KOLESIE +5%Lavked · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. BanLavked remove Overpass
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Anubis
6. BanKOLESIE remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (43% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
KOLESIE 53%Lavked 47%
The model gave 53% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
KOLESIE 44%Lavked 56%
The model gave 56% on Lavked — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 51%
Series resultKOLESIE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2