WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega#148 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2krytiepacani pick
60%71%
krytiepacani · 1 mapedge Omega +11%Omega · 13 maps
AncientOmega ban
60%36%
krytiepacani · 1 mapedge krytiepacani +24%Omega · 7 maps
InfernoOmega pick
40%60%
krytiepacani · 1 mapedge Omega +20%Omega · 6 maps
Miragekrytiepacani ban
50%55%
krytiepacani · 0 mapsedge Omega +5%Omega · 7 maps
NukeOmega ban
40%50%
krytiepacani · 1 mapedge Omega +10%Omega · 4 maps
Cachekrytiepacani ban
50%50%
krytiepacani · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Omega · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Bankrytiepacani remove Cache
2. BanOmega remove Ancient
3. Pickkrytiepacani take Dust2
4. PickOmega take Inferno
5. BanOmega remove Nuke
6. Bankrytiepacani remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
krytiepacani 41%Omega 59%
The model gave 59% on Omega — the map was taken by krytiepacani.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
krytiepacani 28%Omega 72%
The model gave 72% on Omega — the map was taken by krytiepacani.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega · 69%
Series resultkrytiepacani 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2