CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
KUUSAMO#177 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageKUUSAMO pick
57%36%
KUUSAMO · 3 mapsedge KUUSAMO +21%Mai Tai · 18 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%35%
KUUSAMO · 1 mapedge KUUSAMO +25%Mai Tai · 19 maps
NukeMai Tai ban
64%33%
KUUSAMO · 7 mapsedge KUUSAMO +31%Mai Tai · 8 maps
AncientMai Tai pick
33%46%
KUUSAMO · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +13%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
29%36%
KUUSAMO · 3 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 7 maps
CacheKUUSAMO ban
57%50%
KUUSAMO · 3 mapsedge KUUSAMO +7%Mai Tai · 6 maps
AnubisKUUSAMO ban
50%36%
KUUSAMO · 0 mapsedge KUUSAMO +14%Mai Tai · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKUUSAMO remove Anubis
2. BanMai Tai remove Nuke
3. PickKUUSAMO take Mirage
4. PickMai Tai take Ancient
5. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
6. BanKUUSAMO remove Cache
DeciderDefault (60% / 35%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
KUUSAMO 38%Mai Tai 62%
The model gave 62% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by KUUSAMO.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
KUUSAMO 80%Mai Tai 20%
The model gave 80% on KUUSAMO — the map was taken by KUUSAMO.
Model check result
Model favoriteKUUSAMO · 61%
Series resultKUUSAMO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2